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Seek for chaos and dive into it

The Antifragile philosophy

Imagine a medium-sized sealed carton box, with two or three glasses inside. If you kick the box (like kicking a soccer ball), the glasses will surely break. The glasses are fragile. Now, think of...



Chess strategy. Photo by Inactive. on Unsplash: https://unsplash.com/photos/nAjil1z3eLk

Great Expectations

What to expect when you're at risk

Thus far, the situations we have modeled have been either over-simplifications or fabrications in order to illustrate a concept. This article will try to improve on that a bit by considering more...



Born into cloud

Secure Cloud as Code

The weakest link in security is not the technology.

Amazon Web Services (AWS) is one of the biggest cloud services used by thousands of companies around the world, and with a centralized and strong security, it is one of the best on the market....



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The F*CK strategy

The pratfall effect application on business

Do you like fried chicken? A year ago or so, KFC -the chicken fast-food chain- was featured in almost every news outlet in the UK: they ran out of chicken for an entire weekend. A horror story for...



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Do not read this post

What if this post were a malicious link?

Why the f*ck did you click to this post? Seriously, why? Chances are, you were attracted to the title, paradoxically, suggesting not to do something. But, here you are. We are glad you did not...



Finance simulation. Photo by M. B. M. on Unsplash: https://unsplash.com/photos/ZzOa5G8hSPI

Quantitative Python

Risk management with Python

Now that we have an understanding of risk concepts such as the loss exceedance curve, value-at-risk, Bayes Rule, and fitting distributions, we would like to have a realiable, extensible and...



Fire extinguisher. Photo by Tommaso Pecchioli on Unsplash: https://unsplash.com/photos/XG_wi3W4-m8

Para bellum

Prepare for the worst risk

"Si vis pacem, para bellum", goes the old adage. If you want peace, prepare for war. In our case, the worst possible risky scenario our information assets could go into. While probability...



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Hit or miss

Estimating attack probability

One of the main obstacles against adopting a quantitative approach to risk management is that since major security breaches are relatively rare and hence, there cannot be enough data for proper...



New information. Photo by M. Parzuchowski on Unsplash: https://unsplash.com/photos/GikVY_KS9vQ

Updating your beliefs

How Bayes Rule affects risk

Usually, changing our beliefs is seen as a negative thing. But when those beliefs represent our state of uncertainty regarding a particular cybersecurity risk, you’d better use all the tools at...



Git On Steroids

Git on steroids

From messy logs to Data Analytics

There is a universal law that anyone in the tech world should know: If you ask a programmer to do something, he/she will do it their way. Even though creativity, abstract thinking, and putting...



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Monetizing vulnerabilities

From probabilites to dollars and cents

In our previous article, we merely scratched the surface of the problem that quantifying risks poses, barely touching on concepts such as calibrated estimation, confidence intervals and specifying...



Risky poker move. Credits: https://unsplash.com/photos/5jkCyS8HOCY

Quantifying risk

From color scales to probabilities and ranges

One of the least understood parts of a vulnerability is the risk it poses to the target. On the client side, it tends to get confused with impact and occurrence likelihood, due to devices like the...




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